Ngomhla wama-22 kuJuni, ngo-2022, ikamva lentsimbi yentsimbi liphantsi kwe-CNY 4,500-ngetoni nganye uphawu, inqanaba elingazange libonwe ukusukela kuDisemba odlulileyo kwaye ngoku yehle malunga ne-15% ukusuka kwincopho yabo yokuqala kaMeyi phakathi kwemfuno ethe gqolo ebuthathaka idityaniswe nokunyuka kwempahla.Inkxalabo ehleliyo yokuba ukudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi okubangelwe kukuqiniswa ngamandla okuvela kwiibhanki eziphambili kunye nokuqhambuka okuthe gqolo kwe-coronavirus e-China kuye kwathomalalisa imfuno yokwenziwa kwemveliso.Ukongeza kwimbonakalo ye-bearish, iifektri ziphinde zakha izitokhwe kulandela ukuphazamiseka okunxulumene nemfazwe yaseUkraine.Kwi-flip side, uluhlu olunjalo lwempahla kufuneka lunyanzelise abadlali abakhulu bentsimbi ukunqanda imveliso, leyo, kufuneka ixhase amaxabiso kwixesha eliphakathi.
Imfuno yentsimbi yaseTshayina, amaxabiso anokuphinda anyuke xa i-Covid ivaliwe
Iindleko zemathiriyeli ekrwada (intsimbi ekrwada kunye namalahle) kulindeleke ukuba zihlale ziphezulu ngo-2022 ngenxa yoxinzelelo lwe-geopolitical kunye namanyathelo agunyaziswe ngurhulumente ukunciphisa ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni.I-Fitch Ratings nayo ilindeleke ukuba amaxabiso entsimbi ahlale ephakame ngokufanelekileyo kulo nyaka.
I-WSA yengqikelelo yentsimbi efunwayo eTshayina iza kuhlala ithe tyaba ngo-2022 kwaye inokunyuka ngo-2023 njengoko urhulumente waseTshayina ezama ukonyusa utyalo-mali lweziseko ezingundoqo kunye nokuzinzisa imakethi yezindlu nomhlaba.
Imfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ikhula ngo-2022 kunye no-2023
Ngaphandle kokungaqiniseki okubangelwe yimfazwe yaseUkraine kunye nokuvalwa kweTshayina, i-WSA yaqikelela imfuneko yentsimbi yehlabathi ukuba inyuke ngo-2022 nango-2023.
Ngo-2023, imfuno yentsimbi yayiqikelelwe ukuba iza kukhula nge-2.2% ukuya kwi-1.88 yeetoni zeebhiliyoni.Nangona kunjalo, i-WSA yalumkisa ngelithi uqikelelo luxhomekeke ekungaqinisekiseni okuphezulu.
I-WSA iphinde yalindela ukuba imfazwe e-Ukraine iphele ngo-2022 kodwa izohlwayo zaseRussia zihlala zihleli.Izohlwayo ezibekwe eRashiya ziye zanciphisa ukufumaneka kwentsimbi eYurophu.Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-WSA, iRashiya yavelisa i-75.6 yezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi ekrwada ngo-2021, ibalwa kwi-3.9% yokunikezelwa kwehlabathi.
Uqikelelo lwexabiso lentsimbi
Ngaphambi kwentlekele yaseRashiya-Ukraine, umhlalutyi wezezimali we-Fitch Ratings wayelindele ukuba ixabiso lentsimbi ye-HRC liwele kwi-$ 750 ngetoni nganye kwi-2022 kunye ne-$ 535 / tonne phezu kwe-2023 ukuya kwi-2025 kwi-forecast yayo epapashwe ekupheleni konyaka odlulileyo.
Ngenxa yokuphakama kokungaqiniseki kunye nokuguquguquka kwemarike, abahlalutyi abaninzi baye bayeka ukunika uqikelelo lwexabiso elide lentsimbi ukuya kwi-2030.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jun-28-2022